Bitcoin and Cryptocurrency Myths and Facts – Changelly

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Why AMP is a threat to the Open Web

What is AMP?
AMP is an open-source web component framework developed by the AMP Open Source Project, first announced by Google in 2015 as a reaction to Facebook’s Instant Articles and Apple News. While it was originally aimed at accelerating mobile pages (hence AMP), it’s now a much broader project aimed at improving the UX of websites, stories, ads and mail. The AMP framework consists of three components: AMP HTML, which is standard HTML markup with web components; AMP JavaScript, which manages resource loading; and AMP caches, which serves and validates AMP pages.
In plain English: AMP is Google’s attempt at making pages (and more) faster. They did a good job, pages built with the AMP framework will normally load faster. However, as this article explains, you won’t notice much of a difference unless the AMP library is served using the AMP cache, but more on that later.
The controversies with cached AMP pages
The AMP format is itself not much of a problem. In fact, we should applaud search engines that give ranking preference to fast-loading pages like AMP, but four aspects of its implementation are flawed:
  1. Google mobile Search’s Top Stories carousel has a premium position above of all other results, which is only accessible for AMP pages. These pages have to use a technology that was build and maintained mostly by Google (of the top 10 contributors to the AMP project on GitHub, 9 are Google employees), are then served by Google from their infrastructure and placed within a Google controlled user experience. And since this carousel generates a lot of clicks and revenue, publishers are left no choice but to embrace AMP. This has the effect of further reinforcing Google’s dominance of the Web. Fortunately, Google has announced that it's working on opening up the Top Stories carousel to non-AMP pages in 2021.
  2. The biggest performance boost doesn’t come from the AMP framework, but from preloading the page. It begs the question: Should preloading really be exclusive to AMP? They could introduce a way for publishers to allow or disallow preloading and if Google sees fit, they could preload those pages too, alongside AMP.
  3. When a user navigates from Google to a piece of content Google has recommended (or when a user clicks on a shared cached AMP link), they are, unwittingly, remaining within Google’s ecosystem and the publisher’s domain is obscured by the prefix. To work around this Google introduced Signed HTTP Exchanges ([Draft], [1], [2]), a web-standard that allows the browser to display the original site's URL, instead of the actual one (the one with the This would solve the original issue, but while doing so it introduced new ones (e.g. it obfuscates the fact that they're delivering the AMP page you're visiting). Interestingly enough, Google's Chrome already has support for this technology, but parties not involved with AMP are not so enthusiastic: Mozilla has deemed it a harmful web standard [2], and Apple has taken a similar stance.
  4. Google’s entire business model is about collecting as much personal data as possible, AMP is just another tool to do so. As described in Google’s Support article:
“When you use the Google AMP Viewer, Google and the publisher that made the AMP page may each collect data about you.”
The controversies with non-cached AMP pages
To be clear, the above flaws are only with AMP pages cached by Google (or another party like Bing or Cloudflare) but there are also plenty of pages simply utilizing the AMP framework, recognized by URLs such as However, these are also problematic, mainly because there's only a small performance improvement when AMP pages aren't cached and AMP pages tend to be less feature-rich and less diverse than their originals. And in some edge cases, it breaks stuff.
One could argue that the more popular the AMP framework becomes, the more AMP threatens the open web. That said, it should be clear that the biggest problem lies with the cached AMP pages.
AMP is open source, but that doesn't make it holy. Or as Ferdy Christant puts it quite nicely in his blog:
Google’s main defense is that AMP is open source. Which isn’t just a weak defense, it’s no defense at all. I can open source a plan for genocide. The term “open source” is meaningless if the thing that is open source is harmful.
Just so we’re clear, I’m not claiming Google or the AMP project is evil (hell, they might even have good intentions!), but the fact is that AMP and it's implementation have some major flaws that threaten the Open Web. And as long as that's the case, AmputatorBot will be there to remove AMP from your URLs.
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From the bottom of my heart, thank you so much for the tremendous support you've given me and AmputatorBot <3
submitted by Killed_Mufasa to AmputatorBot [link] [comments]

Get Ticketing -- A Sleeping Giant

Here is an article by an author named Adnan about why Get Ticketing will explode:
Below is the same article copied and pasted for those who are too lazy to click the link. However, I recommend reading the article from the link instead as it has a lot of graphs, links, and pictures that gives a much fuller picture.
"GET protocol — the sleeping blockchain giant
Bear with me as I try to explain why the GET token is currently the most bullish crypto token in the space. The price surge will be driven by adoption and not just mere speculation. And adoption is already there but will only now start to gain huge momentum!
By the time you have read this blog you will come to see how most other crypto projects lose value in your eyes when you compare it to a project with amazing fundamentals, a project that doesn’t need an “altseason”, driven by mere mindless speculation, to give you nice returns!
Most people in the crypto space have never heard of the GET protocol. This is on one side suprising because there are 191.329 wallet holders to be exact. This means that 191.329 people have used the GET protocol, mostly without even knowing it!
The focus has always been on building a product that works and where there is demand for. Where other projects have focused and spent their funds on marketing in the crypto space (meaning luring in new investors) GET has neglected that part a bit.
Instead they focused their funds on building a waterproof system and acquiring clients who will use the protocol (venues, artists, governments, …). The effect of this is that the price hasn’t been affected by speculation.
The list of artists who use GET-fueled tickets is endless and I have honestly lost sight of everyone who uses it. But to give you an example of adoption, here is a list of some of the artists who sell GET-fueled tickets:
What is the GET protocol and what does it do?
The GET Protocol offers a blockchain-based smart ticketing solution that can be used by everybody who needs to issue admission tickets in an honest and transparent way. The goal of GET protocol is to become the worldwide ticketing standard.
To put it in simple terms: the ticketing industry is plagued by dishonest players. Not only ticket fraud but also scalping are an enormous problem in the industry. Once a ticket sale starts bots buy up the tickets and later sell them for enormous profits.
Fans are sidelined and are forced to buy tickets of their idols for a much higher price. The scalpers, not adding any value in the process, make tons of money at the expense of artists, fans, venues, event organizers, … and everybody who makes the event industry what it is.
This is where GET offers a solution proven to work
The tickets issued on the GET protocol are registered on your phone. This means that only the person in possession of the phone also owns the ticket. Every ticket is unique and is based on a QR code that updates itself and rotates to prevent fraud and scalping.
The tickets are all registered on the blockchain as a mean of transparency and accountability. This means that fans can check ticket authenticity whenever they want. This is also where the GET token comes in play but more on that later…
GET is currently the best adopted microcap
This is a bold statement but it’s not difficult to prove. Whereas other crypto “companies” confuse their investors with a lot of technical words that the average Joe doesn’t even understand and show off with meaningless partnerships, GET is actually changing the ticketing world for the better!
At the moment of writing there are 4 ticketing companies that are completely integrated in the GET protocol, and together have sold many GET-fueled tickets!
These companies currently run on the GET protocol:
Integrating an existing ticketing company is a low investment move (only the GET token is needed) that offers traditional ticketing companies several benefits. That is why I expect many ticketing companies to integrate and GET to scale quickly.
The supply
Some people are scared by the big difference in the circulating supply and the total supply. This is an unneccessary fear. The GET supply is made up of 3 portions:
This means that the circulating supply as it is now can only, ever, lightly increase for the purpose of growth. With the buybacks and burns being large enough the circulating supply will instead keep decreasing at a swift tempo.
GET in times of COVID19
In May Dutch group Di-Rect sold thousands of tickets for an online concert. They used GET’s technology to use a dynamic price setting. This means that fans were given the option to pay whatever they wanted for a ticket. Whoever paid €20 or more had the chance to win a lottery and be present at the concert.
Once the concert starts, whoever bought a ticket, will be able to watch the streamed concert on GUTS’ app. This is yet another proof of the advantages a digital ticket offers. As this was a big succes, the expectation is that more and more artists will make use of GET’s technology.
On 27/05 Dennis van Aarssen, The Voice Of Holland 2019 winner, announced that he will also do a livestreamed performance of classic covers and original music on June 7th. All tickets will be issued through the GET protocol.
GET also offers several advantages in different areas in the fights against COVID19. The right of access being linked to your mobile makes it possible for potential clients to monitor the number of visitors in real time all the time, to apply an automated seating selection which consideres an appropriate distance between all visitors, queue control, booking of timeslots for museums, shops, parks, beaches, … so overcrowding can be avoided.
When an event gets cancelled, whereas with paper tickets it’s sometimes impossible to track who owns the ticket at the current time, with GET’s technology the event organizer can, with one click, choose to make a refund to the current ticket owner, to communicate with him, to postpone the event, …
What more to expect in the (near) future?
There are so many amazing things to come in the very near future so I’ll only focus on a few of them:
Seeing the adoption the GET protocol has, the solution they bring and the enormous potential they have in conquering the ticketing industry, they have been asked by Kakao to join their blockchain “Klaytn”. So GET is an initial service partner of the Klaytn blockchain.
“Kakao’s global public blockchain project Klaytn is an enterprise-grade, service-centric platform that brings user-friendly blockchain experience to millions.”
The choice for choosing to be an Initial Service Provider of Klaytn is based on two aspects. The first aspect is the fact that Klaytn’s blockchain infrastructure is fully business and integration focused, more than any other blockchain in the market.
This results in huge improvements in areas as cost-efficiency, scalability, and data reliability. The second aspect is fueled by the potential of being part of the Klaytn ecosystem.
Kakao is a giant in South Korea. GET will bring its adoption to Kakao’s blockchain and Kakao, with its giant network, in return will open many doors in South Korea. A win-win for everyone involved!
In 2017 Kakao had more than 220 millions users on their messaging and content platform. The last few years the company has been rapidly expanding in other industry verticals.
GET fueled tickets sold for K-pop stars
As mentioned earlier: South Korean ticketing company getTicket will run fully on the GET protocol. They have already deals in line to sell tickets for K-pop stars in their country.
K-pop legend Mr. Won-Kwan Jung, as someone who has a lot of connections in the K-pop world, has joined the GET protocol as an advisor. He is an iconic figure and innovator in the world of K-Pop, owing to the fact that he was one of the three original members of SoBangCha, (or ‘Firetruck’ in English) which is regarded as the first K-Pop group to exist in the world.
In a survey conducted in 17 countries in 2019, around 37.5 percent of respondents stated that the genre K-pop was “very popular” in their country. The survey found that the popularity of K-pop reaches far beyond South Korean borders.
The fact that their idols will be selling GET-fueled tickets hasn’t reached the Korean audience yet. It is still a “public secret”. The news will be released in a directed marketing campaign later this year. You better believe that once the Koreans find out that they’ll be buying GET like hot cupcakes!
Tickets for museums and beaches to be in line with COVID19 restriction measures
With the Corona virus still not wiped out but more under control, many countries are lifting restrictions. This needs to be done in a safe and controlled manner. This means avoiding overcrowding. GET’s technology can and will surely help here.
GET’s system can do all that is needed now for a safe experience. Whether it’s booking a timeslot for the beach, for a museum,… or even for a shop from your home. The system lets the client monitor everything in real time. Someone can that way for example choose to go when there is less crowd. This all while fully respecting the user’s privacy.
The GET sales team has been busier than ever, being in contact with governments, museums, … and the dev team is constantly creating custom made smart ticketing solutions for new costumers. I’m sure we can expect some major announcements in this area soon!
Top tier exchange listings & marketing in the crypto space
The team has confirmed that listing on a top tier exchange has already been agreed. They’re just waiting for the right time to announce it, fitting in their marketing campaign. Besides that, a fiat on ramp exchange will list GET in a short timeframe.
Many projects invested most of their funds in exchange listings and fake volume, creating artifical demand. These exchange listings are almost always accompanied by paying for a market maker. Once the funds dry up (and we have seen this with many projects) delisting becomes a reality and the funds end up being spent in vain.
GET’s exchange listing and marketing campaign aren’t a means to pump the price but have the goal of creating liquidity for the end users (mainly ticketing companies) who will need to acquire a lot of GET from the open market in the short future.
Expansion in several other countries
GET’s business developer Sander:
"I am reached out by ticketing parties all around the world on a daily basis. The main challenge is to vet these parties. The goal of GET Protocol is to be the worldwide standard of digital admission rights and to get there we need to stay extremely lean and flexible in order to scale well.
In that sense we need to be 100% convinced the parties we partner up in this phase have a very high potential of becoming a big player in their respective geographies. From the onboardings we currently experience, we learn to speed up onboarding processes upcoming year."
And when asked how many tickets he expects to be sold in the near future and how many ticketing companies he expects to run on the GET protocol in 5 years time:
"Along the journey, we here at GET and GUTS learned quite a few things. One of them is avoiding to publicly announce ticket sale estimates as the chances are that we shoot ourselves in the foot with that. If we don’t meet our estimates, life sucks and the community will let us know which is fine and rightful, but to be honest for GET nothing to win.
If we meet our goal, it is okay but even then some people members manage to say they hoped for even better. In that sense, whatever we do, we can’t do well enough on that front, so I am reluctant about giving specific numbers (and I don’t have a crystal sphere either!).
That being said, regarding the amount of ticketing companies in 2025, I expect many, in many countries. It’s a matter of time that we can easier offer our products in a whitelabeled manner. Only this week we got requests for more information about our services from Germany, Paraguay, Mexico, UK and Italy and Australia.
This certainly doesn’t always mean a ticketing company could lead out of such a request, but the interest is certainly there. If we keep on doing what we do now, I believe we can boost ticketeers and event organizers around the world pretty soon and let them issue fully digital and blockchain registered tickets, all processed by GET Protocol. If more ticketing companies are onboarded, the amount of ticket sales processed by the protocol will grow exponentially."
Knowing how GET’s team has always been very careful with their promises, I take such statements very seriously. If the past has taught me anything: they’re probably making an understatement. So expect GET to spread its wings in many regions around the world and take the ticketing world by a storm!
Staking & nodes
GET’s blockchain developer Kasper Keunen has announced that a staking model is being developed. This means that you’ll be able to stake your GET. In return a portion of the ticketing fee will be rewarded to those stakers and nodes. So see it as a passive income. You sit down, relax and see it grow exponentionally as GET conquers the ticketing world :)
The end goal is to be an open source protocol
The endgoal of the GET protocol is to become open source. There will be a governance model where changes to the protocol will be determined by GET token holders. That’s why I expect ticketing companies to acquire a lot of GET in time as their revenue relies on the direction of the protocol.
GET will have a role as governance for the project as a whole. Such a role for the token is the most natural in a fully open-sourced environment of the protocol(currently not the case, yet).
As then governance by stakeholders (ticketing companies) with a serious stake in the game as their ticketing revenue relies on the direction/quality of the code to be on point.
As of yet, we do not really assign too much fundamental value to this role for the token (we barely mentioned it actually) as it is still a bit early for it to have serious merit.
So pushing that value of the token now would be a bit false advertising. As we onboard more and more ticketing companies we will develop the governance of the token role more and more!
Why the GET token is set to explode
Now that I’ve covered what the GET protocol is and where it’s going, it’s time to dig deeper in the token. And I have to say that I’ve never been more bullish on anything in my life. This for the simple reason that usage will drive the price to insanely high levels (where speculation isn’t even needed).
As mentioned above: to have full transparency and accountability (both missing links to make the ticket industry fraud- and scalpfree) all tickets sold are registered on blockchain.
You can compare GET to a gas that is needed to fuel the protocol (every state change of the ticket needs to be registered — for which GET is needed). So for every ticket sold GET is bought back from the open market and burned forever.
GET’s valuation in the (near) future
Bear in mind that this is my own expectation, based on big changes in supply and demand that I will try to explain below. Also keep in mind that I’m not a financial advisor and nothing is guaranteed in the crypto space!
But I will try to explain why I personally believe that GET will be trading at 10€ per token and more in the near future.
As time goes on and more tickets are sold, the demand for GET will keep increasing while the supply will keep decreasing. You don’t need to have a PhD in economics to understand what this will do to the price!
What kind of demand/buybacks can we expect?
As explained above: for every ticket sold at least €0,28 worth of GET is needed by the ticketing companies. Most of this GET is bought back from the exchanges (the money to do this is included in the ticket fee).
Some GET is supplied by the “user growth fund”. This is a fund created to give potential new customers a discount. This is done by subsidizing them a portion of their need for GET so these new customers don’t need to pay the full price immediately. Bear in mind that as time goes by this fund will dry up and all the GET that is needed will from that moment on be bought from the exchanges.
Since the buybacks are based on the amount of tickets issued by the protocol, to calculate what kind of buybacks we can expect in the future we need to look at the ticket sales. As mentioned before there are 4 ticketing companies using the protocol right now (GUTS, ITIX, TecTix and getTicket). Below I will make an estimation of what to expect from them.
GUTS has sold over 400k tickets. From just the deals already signed, over a million tickets would have been sold in 2020. Due to Covid19 most events had to be posponed (not cancelled). In the meanwhile the GUTS sales team hasn’t been idle and has atracted many more customers.
This means that the 1 million tickets number is probably even on the low side. But let’s say a minimum of 1 million tickets will be sold the first year where all events will be allowed again. This means that at least €280.000 worth of GET will be needed in that year.
ITIX sells 2 million tickets a year on average. Once fully integrated they will thus need at least €560.000 worth of GET on a yearly basis.
TecTix, as a new ticketing company, it’s hard to predict what kind of numbers they’ll be running at the start. But given the expertise of the TecTix team I think 200.000 tickets is a safe bet to start with. That would put us on at last €56.000 worth of GET needed/year.
And finally getTicket, a ticketing company based in South Korea. In their case it’s also difficult to make a prediction because they’re new and we have no previous data to rely on.
But judging from the comments made by the team that “everything is bigger in Korea” and that they’ll be selling stadium concerts for K-pop stars (just one concerts can mean over 100.000 tickets sold) I think it’s safe to say that they’ll be selling at least 1 million tickets/year. That would bring their need for GET to at least €280.000 a year.
So if we put this together the 4 ticketing companies will need over € 1 million worth of GET on a yearly basis. Bear in mind that more ticketing companies will keep joining and the existing ticketing companies will keep growing, taking away marketshare from ticketing companies that can’t offer all of the advantages mentioned before.
Based on all of this I, pesonally, would say that €5 million/year in GET buybacks by 2023 is not an unreasonable prediction.
What can we expect from GET’s supply?
Demand for a token means nothing if the supply is unlimited. The best example of the importance of the supply is the recent Bitcoin halvening that got everyone excited.
Before the halvening around 1800 BTC were mined every day. Let’s say that at current prices this was around $16 million worth of BTC per day. The miners obviously have to sell a large portion of this to cover their costs. So even if there are no other sellers, a large number of BTC has to be bought from the market every day just to keep status quo of the current price.
Halvening basically means that the speed at which the supply increases will be halved (900 BTC mined on a daily basis instead of 1800). The supply of BTC will still continue to increase, only at a slower tempo.
Scarcity should be the ultimate goal when investing in utility tokens.
With GET’s utility token things are different: every GET bought by a ticketing company will be burned. Contrary to BTC the supply of GET will thus continue to decrease as time goes on, removing the stacks of those eager to sell.
This is not a dig at Bitcoin by the way as I’m a fan. Just highlighting the advantage an adopted utility token with good tokenomics has over “the king”.
I hope you now understand my expectation that the price will explode. Many holders will obviously not be willing to sell at current prices with such an increasing demand.
As the price is determined by many factors and we don’t know what the price will do exactly, it’s not possible to pin down the exact supply in the future. We do know that it will keep decreasing at a swift tempo unless the price goes parabolic.
Finding the equilibrum for the price
The demand for GET will keep increasing through adoption and the supply decreasing as the used GET are destroyed forever
The equilibrium price and equilibrium quantity occur where the supply and demand curves cross. The equilibrium occurs where the quantity demanded is equal to the quantity supplied. If the demand increases and the supply decreases then the price will rise until it finds a new equilibrium.
Putting a correct marketcap valuation on a crypto project is an extremely difficult task. With traditional companies we can for example rely on the revenue, profit, dividend payments, … to estimate what the company is/should be worth.
In most countries a 5% rental yield is considered a good investment. Of course it’s not fully comparable as these buybacks don’t automatically put money on your account. But they do increase the price and destroy the supply. So I think it’s in a way reasonable to extrapolate this 5% yield to our case.
Having explained why I expect atleast €5 million in yearly buybacks by 2023, that would mean the marketcap should be around €100 million (5% = the buyback of €5 million multiplied by 20).
The current circulating supply of GET is around 13,5 million. The expectation is that the burning mechanism will destroy more than half of that by 2023 (this takes into account an increasing price of the GET token). So let’s round it up to 5 million GET remaining.
A marketcap of €100 million with a supply of 5 million GET would mean a price of €20/GET. This would be an increase of 6566.67%.
Of course these numbers are not set in stone and merely a prediction but if you’ve been reading this blog you have come to understand why I am extremely bullish on the GET token.
I have completely taken the speculation factor or an “altseason” or “fomo” out of the equation and only focused on a price increase driven by an increasing demand and decreasing supply! So the focus is on an organic price growth.
Another great thing about holding a token with mass adoption and guaranteed buybacks is that I don’t have to worry about the price. As the buybacks are a guaranteed thing, the lower the price of GET the more GET is bought back and destroyed forever. So even a price decrease, as contradictory as it may sound, is bullish for longterm holders!
submitted by Damnyeahhh to CryptoMoonShots [link] [comments]

Resumen del 2017 en este pequeño subreddit: top 16 redditors con más publicaciones, top 50 que más comentaron. Y las top 10 publicaciones y top 10 comentarios

Period: 364.24 days
Submissions Comments
Total 1000 24359
Rate (per day) 2.75 66.66
Unique Redditors 274 1650
Combined Score 41945 96172

Top Submitters' Top Submissions

  1. 3798 points, 95 submissions: Rev0d
    1. #URGENTE se acaban de llevar a Leopoldo de la casa. No sabemos donde está ni a dónde lo llevan. Maduro es responsable si algo le pasa. (121 points, 47 comments)
    2. Venezuelan president Maduro is "now a dictator" - White House (120 points, 30 comments)
    3. "No entiendo por qué la xenofobia hacia nosotros... (91 points, 58 comments)
    4. CONFIRMADO: Presidente de la Eurocámara pide congelar bienes de funcionarios del régimen e impide que viajen a la Unión Europea. (75 points, 9 comments)
    5. El SEBIN acaba de llevarse a Antonio Ledezma de su casa. 12:41 am (75 points, 41 comments)
    6. Twitter suspendió más de 180 cuentas de entes públicos, líderes y militantes chavistas. (72 points, 23 comments)
    7. President Trump: "We have troops all over the world in places that are very very far away. Venezuela is not very far away & the people are suffering" (70 points, 48 comments)
    8. Reportan que manifestantes quemaron la casa natal de Hugo Chávez (69 points, 36 comments)
    9. La Niña que busco el meme de Maduro en una foto oficial para la prensa (65 points, 17 comments)
    10. OAS head accuses Venezuela's Maduro of 'self-coup' (64 points, 0 comments)
  2. 2772 points, 61 submissions: geeeorge15
    1. Brazil suspends sales of tear gas to Venezuela (119 points, 15 comments)
    2. Venezolano encara al alcalde de Caracas Jorge Rodriguez en México: "Eres un asesino maldito. No tendrán paz" (119 points, 56 comments)
    3. Hice una tortilla tan española que me dijo que en España la pasan peor (106 points, 25 comments)
    4. "Hoy valiéndome de mi investidura de Presidente y del Art. 347, convoco a una Asamblea Nacional Constituyente" (87 points, 128 comments)
    5. Caracas, Mayo 2017. Foto por Braulio Jatar (86 points, 11 comments)
    6. Falleció Carlos José Moreno (19) por disparo en la cabeza mientras protestaba. QEPD (77 points, 7 comments)
    7. “Hoy cien niños iban a emigrar de Venezuela con rumbo a Perú para reunirse con sus padres. Régimen ordenó retenerlos en el aeropuerto y anular sus pasaportes. Familia de trabajador humanitario que organizó el viaje fue detenida como represalia.” (70 points, 41 comments)
    8. Militares en rebeldía atraparán y entregarán a políticos y partidarios del gobierno de Maduro solicitados por la justicia Internacional. (69 points, 69 comments)
    9. Diosdado Cabello pierde demanda por difamación contra The Wall Street Journal al ser señalado como líder de cartel de narcotráfico, y no podrá demandar de nuevo (68 points, 23 comments)
    10. "Me rindo, chao. Fue bonito mientras duró." (65 points, 4 comments)
  3. 2433 points, 65 submissions: callado
    1. As Venezuela Collapses, Children Are Dying of Hunger — For five months, The NYT tracked 21 public hospitals in Venezuela. Doctors are seeing record numbers of children with severe malnutrition. Hundreds have died (108 points, 18 comments)
    2. Tiran objetos a Maduro en acto en San Félix, Edo Bolívar (82 points, 53 comments)
    3. Pence accuses Venezuela government of abuse of power — "We need only look to the nation of Venezuela to see what happens when democracy is undermined. That once-rich nation's collapse into authoritarianism has pushed it into poverty and caused untold suffering for the Venezuelan people," he said (76 points, 26 comments)
    4. @realDonaldTrump: "Venezuela should allow Leopoldo Lopez, a political prisoner & husband of @liliantintori (just met w/ @marcorubio) out of prison immediately." (64 points, 80 comments)
    5. POTUS: "If the Maduro regime imposes its Constituent Assembly on July 30, the United States will take strong and swift economic actions" (64 points, 50 comments)
    6. IN THE SENATE OF THE UNITED STATES: A bill to provide humanitarian assistance for the Venezuelan people, to defend democratic governance and combat widespread public corruption in Venezuela, and for other purposes (56 points, 13 comments)
    7. Mi posición ante el país. Carta al Defensor del Pueblo "Te pido como hijo y en nombre de Venezuela, a la cual tu sirves, que reflexiones y hagas lo que tienes que hacer" dijo Yibram Saad, quien dice ser el hijo de Tarek William Saab (54 points, 62 comments)
    8. Leopoldo: ¡Sigamos en las calles hasta alcanzar nuestra libertad! (53 points, 49 comments)
    9. Mauricio Macri: “Basta de eufemismos, Venezuela no es una democracia” (46 points, 22 comments)
    10. Venezuela to go BANKRUPT in 48 hours triggering $60BILLION global financial crisis - The crisis came to light after it was revealed state owned firm PDVSA has not made a single debt payments to India's top oil producer ONGC for six months (46 points, 8 comments)
  4. 2398 points, 59 submissions: isaacbonyuet
    1. President of Venezuela 'pelted with eggs' as protesters fight back over food and medicine shortages (93 points, 15 comments)
    2. Make /vzla Great Again! (92 points, 32 comments)
    3. Tomás Rincón en el juego de la Champions (67 points, 0 comments)
    4. Prime Minister of Albania, Edi Rama: "Venezolanos: Albania los entiende y los apoya hoy 16J. Viva la libertad y la democracia. #SiSePuede" (63 points, 0 comments)
    5. Venezuelan demonstration in Santiago, Chile (63 points, 1 comment)
    6. Venezuela president says supporters will take up arms if government falls (62 points, 3 comments)
    7. Venezuelan demonstration in Monterrey, Mexico (62 points, 9 comments)
    8. Venezuelan demonstration in Barcelona, Spain (61 points, 7 comments)
    9. Venezuelan demonstration in Dublin, Ireland (61 points, 1 comment)
    10. Venezuelan demonstration in London, England (58 points, 1 comment)
  5. 1601 points, 42 submissions: x1498
    1. Venezolanas interrumpen ponencia y confrontan a Tarek William Saab en el Líbano: ¡Mi pueblo se muere, los están matando! (81 points, 33 comments)
    2. Petition to Cancel Australian Visas for Venezuelan Government Criminal Politicians and their Families (79 points, 27 comments)
    3. Fuente Oficial: España no reconocerá Asamblea Constituyente elegida hoy en Venezuela. (56 points, 7 comments)
    4. Luisa Ortega Díaz: Nicolás Maduro sería dueño de empresa mexicana contratada por el Estado venezolano para distribución de bolsas CLAP (54 points, 21 comments)
    5. Andrés Izarra admite que CNE manipuló cifras de la constituyente (53 points, 5 comments)
    6. Congresistas de Colombia y Chile denuncian a Maduro ante el Tribunal de La Haya (53 points, 19 comments)
    7. Venezuela increases internet censorship and surveillance in crisis (51 points, 25 comments)
    8. “Los terroristas están en Miraflores”, respondieron a periodista de VTV (50 points, 18 comments)
    9. Con 14 mil mesas es como que un carajo que hace cervezas artesanales salga y venda lo mismo que Polar pero sin la fábrica (46 points, 5 comments)
    10. Three Venezuelan doctors die at sea as they take supplies from Trinidad back to their patients... (44 points, 2 comments)
  6. 1252 points, 34 submissions: In_der_Tat
    1. Monumento a las víctimas del comunismo, Praga (62 points, 10 comments)
    2. Many Poor Venezuelans Are Too Hungry to Join Antigovernment Protests (59 points, 20 comments)
    3. Police officers committing theft (54 points, 10 comments)
    4. Venezuelan Government Turns Away 250 Tonnes of Medicines Offered as Donation by Brazil (52 points, 7 comments)
    5. Armoured anti-riot tear-gas grenade launcher vehicle running over protesters - Altamira, Caracas (51 points, 2 comments)
    6. Misión cumplida (49 points, 5 comments)
    7. La salida™ vista desde la estación espacial internacional (47 points, 6 comments)
    8. Balance apoyo/rechazo a fraudulenta constituyente. 52 países han hablado: 43 rechazos, 5 apoyos, 4 tibios (46 points, 43 comments)
    9. Socialistas chilenos impiden a venezolanos protestar ante su embajada (44 points, 16 comments)
    10. Venezuela: 'Government doesn't want you to see the mess it's in' BBC News (40 points, 1 comment)
  7. 1005 points, 27 submissions: OPUno
    1. María Corina Machado: “En Venezuela no hay un Gobierno, sino una mafia criminal” (68 points, 21 comments)
    2. ÚLTIMA HORA | VIDEO - Senador Marco Rubio en el Senado de EE.UU.: "Diosdado Cabello, es mi perspectiva, es el Pablo Escobar de Venezuela" (60 points, 19 comments)
    3. Macron: "Venezuela es una dictadura que se mantiene en pie con el sufrimiento humano" (59 points, 13 comments)
    4. MUD hará primarias para escoger a candidatos para alcaldía de Ramo Verde (48 points, 10 comments)
    5. LO ÚLTIMO | Congreso de Perú aprobó por mayoría absoluta expulsar al Embajador venezolano de Lima, Diego Molero Bellavia #9Ago (46 points, 4 comments)
    6. Si criticas ➡Y tú, ¿qué propones?. Si propones ➡ Sal y hazlo tú. Si lo haces ➡ Eres radical y antipolítico. Así funciona el chantaje (44 points, 26 comments)
    7. María Corina Machado: el país no entendería que la oposición vaya a elecciones regionales (42 points, 57 comments)
    8. Venezuelan ex-official detained in Spain on US warrant (40 points, 8 comments)
    9. MCM: Sanciones de EEUU son quirúrgicas y efectivas (39 points, 15 comments)
    10. Venezuela’s Secret Plot to Sell Banned Syrian Oil in U.S. Market (39 points, 6 comments)
  8. 955 points, 26 submissions: Gesco101
    1. La venezolana Deyna Castellanos fue elegida Jugadora del Año por la United Women's Soccer de los EEUU. (86 points, 6 comments)
    2. Salario mínimo en Venezuela es inferior por primera vez al de Cuba (61 points, 30 comments)
    3. Momento en el que un meme contra Maduro sale en cadena nacional (51 points, 10 comments)
    4. TSJ anula Ley que limita sueldos de altos funcionarios del Estado (51 points, 22 comments)
    5. Cadena perpetua para los sobrinos Flores pide Fiscalía de Nueva York (47 points, 24 comments)
    6. Pescaron a Jorge Arreaza y a sus secuaces en el Central Park en los Estados Unidos. (44 points, 17 comments)
    7. #Ahora A las 10 am han llegado embajadores de Italia, Alemania y Chile al Palacio Federal Legislativo para acompañar a la Asamblea Nacional (43 points, 13 comments)
    8. Maduro: Si tengo que convertirme en dictador para garantizar los precios, lo voy a hacer (41 points, 21 comments)
    9. Le pagaron Bs 10 mil de la pensión en billetes de a 10 y los rompió todos de la arrechera. (38 points, 46 comments)
    10. Cada vez es más difícil llevarse un huevo a la boca (35 points, 42 comments)
  9. 948 points, 26 submissions: vene1
    1. U.S. State Department says 'we condemn the lack of free and fair elections yesterday in Venezuela' (58 points, 25 comments)
    2. Venezuelan President Maduro is 'not just a bad leader, he is now a dictator' - White House. (57 points, 2 comments)
    3. 79% estaria de acuerdo con una intervencion extranjera, bueno, un momentico, esteee, no veo, revisen [VTV] (52 points, 16 comments)
    4. Joven desnudo sobre tanqueta recibiendo amor (47 points, 17 comments)
    5. "Gritaba y lloraba… tenía tanto miedo que me oriné": detenidos en protestas opositoras en Venezuela denuncian violaciones, golpizas y torturas - BBC Mundo (43 points, 34 comments)
    6. Fiscalía suiza congela 42 millones de dólares en cuentas de suegra de Haiman El Troudi (42 points, 10 comments)
    7. Costa Rica no reconoce y considera nulo e ilegítimo el proceso y resultados de la Asamblea Nacional Constituyente en Venezuela (41 points, 3 comments)
    8. How I Accidentally Tipped a Venezuelan Waiter $0.002 (40 points, 37 comments)
    9. 6 de cada 10 venezolanos cree que el 2017 fue el peor año de sus vidas (39 points, 22 comments)
    10. Avenida Fuerzas Armadas cambió su nombre a Paúl René Moreno Camacho, Maracaibo (39 points, 11 comments)
  10. 911 points, 2 submissions: Treeke
    1. Por cada upvote, voy a decir "Tibi mardita perra" y lo voy a subir a soundcloud (755 points, 93 comments)
    2. OP DELIVERS o BAMBOOZLE?! 720 "Tibi mardita perra", Ron y Bamboozle (156 points, 51 comments)
  11. 709 points, 19 submissions: pachecogeorge
    1. Destruyen estatua de Chavez en el Zulia (78 points, 30 comments)
    2. Marico el que lo lea (58 points, 9 comments)
    3. "Maduro Mamaguevo asesino bruja" en partido VEN-ALE SUB-20 (57 points, 8 comments)
    4. Lógica del socialismo (49 points, 53 comments)
    5. Venezolanos en Buenos Aires nos hacemos escuchar. #NoMasDictadura (49 points, 2 comments)
    6. Esta mañana en Hungría los venezolanos salieron a protestar y pidieron fin de la dictadura. (40 points, 19 comments)
    7. Magistrado: Constituyente sin referendo aniquila soberanía popular (35 points, 14 comments)
    8. Diputada del PSUV por el edo. Falcón llama a desconocer la ANC. (33 points, 11 comments)
    9. Fiscal Luisa Ortega Díaz rechaza Constituyente porque aceleraría la crisis (33 points, 14 comments)
    10. ÚLTIMA HORA | Confirman fallecimiento de Hecder Lugo, joven herido gravemente en la cabeza ayer tras brutal represión en San Diego, Carabobo (33 points, 3 comments)
  12. 608 points, 18 submissions: Maintob
    1. Asamblea Constituyente de Venezuela disuelve la Asamblea Nacional (76 points, 27 comments)
    2. Asesinaron a joven de 20 años que participaba en una protesta en Valencia (41 points, 12 comments)
    3. Canadá impondrá sanciones contra presidente de Venezuela y decenas de altos funcionarios (38 points, 31 comments)
    4. Prohíben mostrar a mujeres en bikini en contraportadas de periódicos venezolanos (38 points, 99 comments)
    5. Confirmado el asesinato de Juan Lopez presidente de la FCU de la UPTJAA, fue tiroteado en plena Asamblea Estudiantil en El Tigre (37 points, 15 comments)
    6. Dementor se alimenta de venezolano y termina con depresión clínica (37 points, 2 comments)
    7. Correa se desmarca de Maduro y pide elecciones en Venezuela (33 points, 15 comments)
    8. Analysis | Venezuelans are still demonstrating. What happens next for the dictatorship of President Nicolás Maduro? (30 points, 14 comments)
    9. PDVSA pierde $ 4.000 millones al año por subsidio de gas doméstico y para sector eléctrico (30 points, 20 comments)
    10. Asamblea Nacional Constituyente asume competencias legislativas del Parlamento controlado por la oposicion (29 points, 52 comments)
  13. 563 points, 7 submissions: hinoyminoy69
    1. I am a white 19 year old woman who is flying into Margarita Island all the way from California to catch some gnarly waves! I would love to meet up with some locals and learn the culture and nightlife of Venezuela! Would anyone like to show me around and just catch a few drinks? (159 points, 105 comments)
    2. Brigada 41 en Valencia se declara en Rebeldía (113 points, 115 comments)
    3. Always two there are. (96 points, 35 comments)
    4. Marco Rubio "The fact that Narco leader [Diosdado Cabello] annouced [the] military rebellion & government response shows who's in charge of security forces in Venezuela" (76 points, 8 comments)
    5. Buenas noches! (47 points, 55 comments)
    6. General Motors dice que Venezuela a expropiado su planta de automóviles (40 points, 14 comments)
    7. Cada vez que llegamos al front page.... (32 points, 60 comments)
  14. 471 points, 10 submissions: AndrewNaranja
    1. Venezuela le gana a Uruguay en penales y pasa a la Final del Mundial Sub-20. Su oponente sera el ganador de Italia vs. Inglaterra (93 points, 23 comments)
    2. Felices Fiestas para todos desde el equipo de moderación de vzla (73 points, 78 comments)
    3. Leopoldo Lopez - Hilo de Discusion (50 points, 126 comments)
    4. Venezuela le gana a Estados Unidos 2-1 y avanza a la Semifinal del Mundial Sub-20. Su oponente sera el ganador de Portugal vs. Uruguay (49 points, 8 comments)
    5. 19 de Abril - Hilo de Acontecimientos (44 points, 71 comments)
    6. Venezuela le gana a Mexico 1-0 y termina como lider del Grupo B del Mundial Sub-20. Su siguiente partido sera contra el mejor tercero del Grupo A, B o C el 30 de Mayo (38 points, 14 comments)
    7. Venezuela le gana a Japon 1-0 y pasa a los Cuartos de Final del Mudial Sub-20. Su oponente sera el ganador de Estados Unidos vs. Nueva Zelanda (36 points, 15 comments)
    8. Venezuela le gana a Vanuatu 7-0 y clasifica a Octavos de Final del Mundial Sub-20. Su siguiente partido sera contra Mexico el 26 de Mayo (33 points, 7 comments)
    9. Venezuela in the front page: Venezuela Protest YESTERDAY! (pics) (28 points, 18 comments)
    10. Desde dankmemes (27 points, 16 comments)
  15. 454 points, 10 submissions: bricateur
    1. Ya voté, ¿ustedes? (86 points, 192 comments)
    2. Tanqueta arrolla a grupo de manifestantes en El Rosal. Un joven aparentemente muerto (73 points, 13 comments)
    3. Fail - Graffiti "Maduro asesino de estudiantes" es grabado mientras Maduro maneja y posteriormente subido a Twitter (56 points, 22 comments)
    4. "Quisiera tener un puñal de acero para degollar un maldito guarimbero" canta la Fuerza Armada mientras entrenan (49 points, 20 comments)
    5. Capriles: me están notificando de una inhabilitación por 15 años (43 points, 74 comments)
    6. Asesinado joven de 17 años tras herida de bala en el pecho, informa Ramón Muchacho (41 points, 1 comment)
    7. Dudamel: ‘Contra la violencia y la represión alzo mi voz’ (28 points, 31 comments)
    8. Gente que odia a líder que nació de momento mediático ama a señor que nació de momento mediático (27 points, 32 comments)
    9. El Chiguire Bipolar: SE PRENDIÓ ESTA MIERDA (26 points, 5 comments)
    10. Antonio Ledezma regresa a arresto domiciliario (25 points, 25 comments)
  16. 453 points, 13 submissions: Rostacmac
    1. Ser militar, guardia o policía debería ser motivo de vergüenza, escarnio y asco. (60 points, 48 comments)
    2. #13May Quemaron la estatua de Chávez en Pariaguan Anzoategui (51 points, 7 comments)
    3. Avianca Suspende Operaciones en el país a partir del 16 de Agosto (42 points, 24 comments)
    4. Gritaron "Y va a caer" y los dejaron sin graduación en la Universidad Bolivariana (37 points, 18 comments)
    5. Vecinos trancan Av. Urdaneta. Cada día más cerca de Miraflores. (37 points, 1 comment)
    6. Pancarta con 3000 billetes de 2 Bs = 1 $ (31 points, 4 comments)
    7. Brazil declares top Venezuelan diplomat persona non-grata (30 points, 18 comments)
    8. El bitcoin a más de,00 Bs (30 points, 58 comments)
    9. Fiscalía inicia averiguación contra programa "Zurda Conducta" (30 points, 14 comments)
    10. "Salimos de Cuba buscando una mejor vida, pero en Venezuela descubrimos un verdadero infierno" (29 points, 9 comments)

Top Commenters

  1. ElTuco84 (2283 points, 472 comments)
  2. isaacbonyuet (2193 points, 618 comments)
  3. pachecogeorge (2161 points, 492 comments)
  4. fernst (2112 points, 348 comments)
  5. drchlt (1893 points, 253 comments)
  6. daguito81 (1615 points, 364 comments)
  7. Clemenx00 (1566 points, 214 comments)
  8. Rostacmac (1540 points, 289 comments)
  9. AgentD22 (1330 points, 251 comments)
  10. vene1 (1153 points, 302 comments)
  11. blublaman (1098 points, 174 comments)
  12. Radinax (1077 points, 192 comments)
  13. callado (1045 points, 288 comments)
  14. agmm15 (914 points, 134 comments)
  15. imbeciI (891 points, 302 comments)
  16. JusticeOwl (868 points, 116 comments)
  17. x1498 (793 points, 188 comments)
  18. pgcm_ (738 points, 192 comments)
  19. mkeuv (723 points, 159 comments)
  20. TryHardFapHarder (713 points, 132 comments)
  21. actitud_Caribe (711 points, 164 comments)
  22. depredator56 (710 points, 118 comments)
  23. tramitesVzla (657 points, 165 comments)
  24. In_der_Tat (639 points, 161 comments)
  25. geeeorge15 (639 points, 120 comments)
  26. Pastelitomaracucho (624 points, 154 comments)
  27. Quo210 (618 points, 127 comments)
  28. KnoT666 (575 points, 487 comments)
  29. gwynn- (574 points, 127 comments)
  30. shardikprime (567 points, 187 comments)
  31. manualex16 (567 points, 138 comments)
  32. AllGamer (560 points, 156 comments)
  33. blaughlin (545 points, 144 comments)
  34. HakimenLAN (531 points, 96 comments)
  35. witteng (518 points, 137 comments)
  36. josegv (514 points, 114 comments)
  37. Roraima19 (505 points, 93 comments)
  38. Programmer_Trainee (501 points, 153 comments)
  39. OPUno (494 points, 92 comments)
  40. Rev0d (464 points, 88 comments)
  41. sourrrpussy (452 points, 52 comments)
  42. ILL_PM_WHAT_YOU_ASK (438 points, 238 comments)
  43. L30R0D (425 points, 57 comments)
  44. jrodri86 (412 points, 68 comments)
  45. hypomaniac14 (405 points, 89 comments)
  46. andrew4d3 (400 points, 131 comments)
  47. EpicChiguire (397 points, 112 comments)
  48. maczirarg (396 points, 140 comments)
  49. macr1408 (388 points, 130 comments)
  50. MrBondurant (386 points, 80 comments)

Top Submissions

  1. Por cada upvote, voy a decir "Tibi mardita perra" y lo voy a subir a soundcloud by Treeke (755 points, 93 comments)
  2. Demosle Upvote para que cuando busquen Nicolas Maduro en Google, salga esto. by Flavorgsc (353 points, 31 comments)
  3. Empresa que hizo el conteo de votos en Venezuela denuncia "manipulación" en la elección de la Asamblea Nacional Constituyente - BBC Mundo by Katarsys (163 points, 104 comments)
  4. I am a white 19 year old woman who is flying into Margarita Island all the way from California to catch some gnarly waves! I would love to meet up with some locals and learn the culture and nightlife of Venezuela! Would anyone like to show me around and just catch a few drinks? by hinoyminoy69 (159 points, 105 comments)
  5. OP DELIVERS o BAMBOOZLE?! 720 "Tibi mardita perra", Ron y Bamboozle by Treeke (156 points, 51 comments)
  6. To all protestors. You should start carrying blankets, and here is why. by hopopo (149 points, 34 comments)
  7. TIL que la palabra “Marico” no hace referencia a un homosexual... by Caracucho (148 points, 59 comments)
  8. A fellow Redditor has being jailed by guillelon (132 points, 40 comments)
  9. My favorite part about this Subreddit is how people from first world countries come to tell us why we are in the situation we are in and how we are all right wing capitalists because we don’t like socialism. by wilmercazon (125 points, 147 comments)
  10. To Infinity and Beyond! by ImViTo (124 points, 19 comments)

Top Comments

  1. 109 points: santarrosa's comment in Opiniones sobre las puputov's?
  2. 83 points: davanger's comment in [desahogo] Se me está haciendo difícil adaptarme al extranjero...
  3. 78 points: Treeke's comment in Tibisay Lucena: El 30 de julio habrá elecciones para la Constituyente
  4. 77 points: AnneB18's comment in Tequeño Tuesday - Aca no se habla de politica
  5. 69 points: AbraKdabra's comment in Maduro: "En la Argentina me aman; si me lanzo a Presidente, gano con el 70%" [noticia de prensa arg en el sub argento]
  6. 63 points: IngloriousBlaster's comment in Lo más creepy que me ha ocurrido en la vida
  7. 63 points: Merweb0's comment in CANTV me arruina la vida.
  8. 59 points: SoyCantv's comment in Venezolano encara al alcalde de Caracas Jorge Rodriguez en México: "Eres un asesino maldito. No tendrán paz"
  9. 58 points: drchlt's comment in ojo si usas este sub seras baneado en /socialism
  10. 56 points: Cocodrool's comment in ojo si usas este sub seras baneado en /socialism
submitted by isaacbonyuet to vzla [link] [comments]

Latest interview with Jeffrey Gundlach. Transcript of interview.

CNBC Exclusive: CNBC Transcript: DoubleLine Capital CEO Jeffrey Gundlach Speaks with CNBC’s Scott Wapner Today Published Mon, Dec 17 2018 • 4:06 PM EST WHEN: Today, Monday, December 17, 2018
WHERE: CNBC’s “Fast Money Halftime Report ”
The following is the unofficial transcript of a CNBC EXCLUSIVE interview with DoubleLine Capital CEO Jeffrey Gundlach and CNBC’s Scott Wapner on CNBC’s “Fast Money Halftime Report” (M-F 12PM – 1PM) today, Monday, December 17th. The following are links to video from the interview on,,,, and
All references must be sourced to CNBC.
SCOTT WAPNER: Welcome to Los Angeles Jeffrey. Thank you for having us back.
JEFFREY GUNDLACH: Welcome to DoubleLine.
SCOTT WAPNER: Almost a year to the day we were last with you.
JEFFREY GUNDLACH: I think it was December 13th last year.
SCOTT WAPNER: That’s right. We’re still volatile in the market. Today is another representation of that. We’re still about 50 points above on the S&P of the February lows.
SCOTT WAPNER: Do you think we’re going to go below that?
JEFFREY GUNDLACH: Well in the fullness of time, I think absolutely we’ll go below that. I’m pretty sure this is a bear market. People like this definition of 20% down as a bear market, but that’s obviously very arbitrary. I’ve been around over 35 years in the business and have seen a number of bear markets. It’s more about how you lead into it, how it develops and how the sentiment changes, and I think we’ve had pretty much all of the variables that characterize a bear market I remember going -- usually something happens that really doesn’t make any sense at all and I’m kind of amazed how it goes on longer than it should like back in the dotcom days when companies were being IPO’d and had no sales let alone revenues that’s hard to be and they would actually explode to the upside on the IPO. That’s kind of crazy and then we had the subprime lending with pick a pay loans back in ’05 and ’06 and that was kind of crazy and that went on longer than it should have. This time like we talked about a year ago it was crypto, bitcoin which was truly a mania, we talked a year ago it just went up. Maybe in the end it’s a good thing or the block chain technology is a good thing. The way it was being treated and believed in was a mania and then it crashed about a week after we met a year ago and it was at 17,500 when we were speaking right in this spot and of course now it’s down below 3,500 so an 85% decline. And one after another you start to see various sectors of the global financial markets give it up. The global stock market peaked January 26th. And so did the New York Stock Exchange composite, January 26 but the Dow Jones Industrials, the Nasdaq, the S&P 500. All of these things, one by one, started to roll over and come the summertime or later in the summertime you were down to the FAANGs and then you were down to two stocks it was amazon and apple and then amazon gave it up. And then finally when they decided they weren’t going to tell you how many phones they sold anymore apple gave it up.
SCOTT WAPNER: That was the last straw.
JEFFREY GUNDLACH: That was kind of the last straw. It was October 3rd when the tariffs -- well, it was that USMC -- whatever it’s called, it’s really NAFTA but it was announced we would have this change in NAFTA that would lead to a requirement that a certain fraction of car parts be made in higher costs locales which basically meant not Mexico. A senior executive at ford motor said, well obviously we’re going to have to raise the prices on our cars if input prices are going up. Suddenly the market seemed to wake up to the fact that this was real and the next day the stock market tipped over in fact, on October 3rd, Jay Powell said we’re a long way from neutral. And that was a big problem, too.
SCOTT WAPNER: That seemed to be the tipping point.
JEFFREY GUNDLACH: Yes that with the USMCA thing and the Ford Motor executive, those things seemed to come together and coalesce into we’ve had enough. And, yeah, the Jay Powell thing was interpreted by the market as a scary thing, the fed was going to keep going a long distance further and then the market dropped over 10% and suddenly the Fed had to massage the rhetoric. And suddenly it was, well, we have a new definition of neutral maybe. We’re actually within the lower bound or close to the lower bound of neutral in an attempt to stabilize the market. So, yeah, it seems like a bear market to me in the way things trade with late day volume being bad and the like the best thing for the near term, I think, is that the most export sensitive stock market, South Korea, the Kospi bottomed October 29 so at least that’s not pushing to new lows and emerging markets broadly are doing better because they’re extremely export driven. Maybe this leg down is getting toward an exhaustion point the sentiment is pretty dark right now. I’d be happier on the short term outlook if the VIX would go above 40 which is usually a sign.
SCOTT WAPNER: That would be quite a spike.
JEFFREY GUNDLACH: Well, that’s typically what happens when you get to the bottom, there’s so much nervousness and fear but the Vix is a little bit disturbing how it doesn’t go higher. Actually as the market pushes to the down side. But i think this is a bear market and i think we’ll go below the February lows almost with certainty.
SCOTT WAPNER: Is it a long lasting bear market or it can be short term as some have suggested on our air and then this secular bull market will resume?
JEFFREY GUNDLACH: I don’t think so. I think it’s a bear market. I think we’ve had the first leg down and the second leg down is usually more painful than the first leg down if this is indeed a bear market. Maybe in the short term we’re getting flushed out. I think it’s lasted a long time. It has a lot to do with the fact i believe we’re in a situation that maybe unprecedented was too strong but it is highly unusual that we are increasing the budget deficit so spectacularly so late in the cycle while the fed is hiking interest rates. I know you’ve teased the segment by talking about the suicide mission I’ve been talking about for months. The fed almost seems to be on a suicide mission. What i mean by that the deficit in the United States is extraordinarily high from where we are in the economic cycle and given what the debt level accumulated is already. In the first two months of fiscal ’19 it was just announced last week there’s a funny thing that happened in November where the payments for December ended up being pushed to November because December 1st was on a Saturday if you take that out it’s $44 billion that’s a big number. So if you wake that out and say that’s December and not November. Still, the first two months of fiscal ’19, the budget deficit is going up at an annualized rate of $1.62 trillion. And that’s the official budget deficit. The actual budget deficit is larger than what the report -- for example, for fiscal ’18, which ends September 30th, the deficit was around $800 billion. But the national debt went up by $1.3 trillion almost now. Why? What’s the difference there? There are items that are off budget. So the budget deficit really for fiscal ’18 was $1.3 nearly trillion that’s 6% of GDP and we’re supposedly having a good economy and we’re supposedly having jobs growth and all this other great stuff. In actuality we increase the deficit by 6% of GDP since government deficit change is a significant fraction – a significant variable in the GDP equation it seems to me there’s no real economic growth that’s happening away from the deficit. So what worries me is that as we move into a weaker economy, which will happen at some points and certainly the economy looks weaker now than it did entering 2018, that the deficit will continue to expand at a rate which could be prohibitive for the usual decline in interest rates helping to stimulate the economy. That’s what I think is the real big variable investors need to focus on. And while this is happening with the deficit exploding, the fed is raising interest rates which means the interest expense is going to be increasing year by year as these zero interest rates that we had for a number of years start to roll off and the bonds have to be refloated once they mature, the next five years we have something like $7 trillion of treasuries that are maturing the average coupon on those treasuries is almost as low as 2%, slightly higher, 2.1%. When they roll over, they’re going to be at a higher interest rate because the fed has been on the suicide mission of raising interest rates so the interest expense on that $7 trillion of treasuries is going to be -- maybe the rate will be at 3% like it is now or maybe 4% and you might even see we have an expense that goes up $100, $140 billion. So kind of the … of our government is coming back to haunt us ultimately. In financial markets, these things go on so much longer than they should Ross Perot ran for president running infomercials about we were doomed on the deficit and there was a book written in 1992, that same year, that was somewhat sponsored by the Peterson Foundation called bankruptcy 1994. And the idea behind the book was we have this compounding curve and this debt problem that is going to come back and really cause us problems. Well, he was early. He was early by at least 26 years. But he’s right, you can’t keep going on with the debt finance scheme, and I’m worried when the next recession comes we could be looking at, well heck, we’re supposedly in a good economy and the next two months we’re running $1.6 trillion what if we go into a recession what’s the deficit going to be $3 trillion? And does that mean interest rates don’t go down during the next recession, which is an idea I’ve been noodling around for a long time maybe they go higher with I’ve had a call the next two years that come 2021 the ten-year treasury will be at 6%. I get a lot of pushback a lot of debt deflation is out there in the twitter-sphere absolutely wrong the economy can’t handle higher interest rates. Interest rates might have a life of their own. It might not matter what the market can handle or can’t handle.
SCOTT WAPNER: they haven’t to this point. It’s been somewhat surprising that rates have remained where they are you said 3%. They hit 3%. 3.25%. Here we are below 2.9% today.
JEFFREY GUNDLACH: yes, on the ten year. I was focusing on the three year when it broke above 3.25% that was incredibly important frankly, I didn’t think we’d go back below 3.25 once we broke above because it seemed like such an important level. Here we are back below 3.25. But not impressively not in a way that would be consistent with a big decline in the global stock market. There’s a thing called the death cross. It’s a 50-day moving average goes below 200 a day particularly when they’re both declining. Presently about 80% of the countries in the MSCI World Index are in a death cross 80%. It’s amazing. And there was a chart that got a lot of play put out by deutsche bank about how many risk assets globally are in officially bear market down the arbitrary 20% number that, again, i don’t really ascribe to but so commonly used at that they used it and the highest in the data series going back to 1901. It’s like 90% of the risk assets around the world in dollar terms are in bear markets. So it’s a pretty widespread and coordinated set of weaknesses.
SCOTT WAPNER: Are you saying that by embarking on this suicide mission that the fed shouldn’t raise interest rates this week?
JEFFREY GUNDLACH: I don’t really think that’s the main thrust of my idea this week, yeah, they shouldn’t raise them this week.
SCOTT WAPNER: They shouldn’t?
JEFFREY GUNDLACH: No I don’t think they should. The bond market is saying, fed, you’ve got no way you should be raising interest rates look at the 2s, 3s, five-year part of the yield curve which are flat at 270 I guess that corroborative of a hike. But it is basically saying in the year 2019 you’re going to have a cut, this big, but a cut that was priced into the yield curve and in 2020 another cut. The problem, though, isn’t that the fed shouldn’t be raising rates. The problem is the fed shouldn’t have kept them so low for so long.
JEFFREY GUNDLACH: The problem we shouldn’t have had negative interest rates like we still have in Europe. We shouldn’t have done quantitative easing which is a circular financing scheme. The problem really is the deficit. The fed is kind of helpless here. The fact that the deficit is so out of control this late in the economic cycle, we have never before had the fed raise interest rates while the budget deficit was expanding it’s never happened. Because usually the budget deficit expands in response to a recession. It’s a way of stimulating to get us out of recession. Instead, we did it as a last gasp of keeping this economic recovery going by making it completely deficit based.
SCOTT WAPNER: So this morning, President Trump once again Tweeted about the Fed. Quote, “It’s incredible that with a very strong dollar and virtually no inflation, the outside world blowing up around us, Paris burning, China way down, that the Fed is even considering another interest rate hike. Take the victory,” he stayed. Stan Druckenmiller, today, Op-Ed “Wall Street Journal”: The Fed should quote “Pause its double-barreled blitz of higher rates and tighter liquidity.” So they’re right, you agree with them?
JEFFREY GUNDLACH: I do agree with them. I’ve been saying this pretty much all year, the double-barreled was actually -- he may have borrowed that from me, that’s how I’ve been talking about – it’s how I’ve been phrasing it all year – that we’ve really been tightening interest rates in a way that’s more than people understand. There’s a duo of economists at the Atlanta Fed called Wu and Xia, who did a study a few years back ‘What was the effect of quantitative easing?’ If they hadn’t done the quantitative easing and instead had taken the European model and gone to negative interest rates, how negative would those rates have had to be to have the same stimulative effect as the quantitative easing? And they concluded – and I don’t know if they’re right or not it’s very hypothetical – but their conclusion was that the quantitative easing amounted to 300 basis points of further cuts. So if they hadn’t done quantitative easing, to have the same stimulative effect, the Fed funds would have had been negative 300 basis points. Well let’s just say they’re right. Since they did about 2.5 trillion of quantitative easing and it was 300 basis points, 2.5 trillion divided by 3 is roughly $800 billion. Okay? So $800 billion is -- $800 billion divided by 4 means that’s what quantitative easing is one cut. So 100 basis points is $800 billion. So divided by 4. 25 basis points is $200 billion of quantitative easing. Well so far we’re pushing towards $400 billion -- we’re not there yet but we’re soon to be there -- of quantitative tightening. That means we’ve had would more rate hikes from quantitative tightening if Wu and Xia are right. So the Fed hasn’t just raised rates in that context eight times. They’ve raised them ten times. And the quantitative tightening is stated to be as high as $600 billion over fiscal ’19. So that’s another three rate hikes. So if they were going to follow their dots and raise rates so many times, there’s another three on top of that. So the amount of tightening has been underappreciated, I think, and Stan is right as he often is – he’s one of the greatest investors ever for, him and Chanos, the two titans of the hedge fund industry. They’re right that we are seeing the bond market react in a way that is historically very predictive of the Fed should not be doing this. And yet, we have this strange dynamic that they’ve almost promised a rate hike here in December. And then the President shows up with his Tweets trying to bully them into not doing it and it puts Jay Powell and the team in a very tough position. Because they’re damned if they do and damned if they don’t.
submitted by FunctionOfLife to investing [link] [comments]

Dealing with the police

I can't talk about this to my former friends (Who I no longer speak with because I don't want them to feel like they could have done something) so I guess I'm dumping it all here.

Every night this past week, with one exception (Thursday night), I went out driving around looking for a place to Long Drop that's the perfect distance from a hospital for every vital organ except my brain to be saved. Long Dropping is a method of hanging where you fall so far that the rope snaps your neck, rendering it almost completely painless; but not far enough that your head decapitates. It's the method of hanging that was used for official executions in the 19th and early 20th centuries. Unfortunately for normal people without special apparatus it can be logistically tricky setting it all up right. I'm pretty tall and I need an unimpeded vertical space of 14 feet within which I can drop. What's more, I want to make sure the ambulance arrives on the scene RIGHT as the 6 minute mark passes (the point of brain death). This way my organs have the best chance of being harvested for other people's use. estimates 30.6 Quality Adjusted Life Years (QALYs) saved over doing it in my apartment (which has such a drop). That's a big deal to me. I don't want to live, but there are plenty of mentally healthy individuals undergoing critical surgery, who are loved and needed by their families, friends, spouses, children, communities, employers, all of whom desperately want them in their lives - and who themselves wish to continue living. If I have perfectly functioning organs untinged by drug abuse or medical issues, why shouldn't I give them that opportunity??? I want them to have the freedom to continue their fulfilling lives as greatly as I desire the freedom to end mine.

So around I went through the southern neighbourhoods (Colonias) of my city, in the dead of night, keeping an eye out for any stiff horizontal beams onto which I might tie my knot. Not to do it there and then, mind you; my baby sister is still in undergrad exam period, and I still need to visit the States one more time to probate-proof. I was just in the research phase. I soon realized that the climb itself was a major consideration, and that while I could have a ladder shipped out to anywhere, it'd be much easier and less suspicious to drive up and scale it on the spot. Isolation and the correct distance from hospitals were also key. This effectively whittled my options down to an abandoned water tower in Miramar just south of where the main city starts, and the various unguarded transmission towers even further south. (All the towers in the main city are cordoned off from access, but the newer and poorer districts haven't had that luxury.)

On Tuesday or Wednesday I bought some measuring tape and on Friday night I bought a rope from Home Depot - again, just to see where it hangs. On Friday in the Colonia Arcoiris I find the PERFECT string of towers, way in the outskirts of town and absolutely enormous, their legs lifting them a full 30 feet off the earth. What's more, they're on a dirt road specially made for transmission tower access - there's NOTHING there, just towers and weeds. Most of the other towers here, I have to watch out for passersby, cops, cameras, not to mention how hard it was to get a clean drop with zero obstruction from lower beams. But the Arcoiris towers have joints with nothing under them but bush and bramble, anywhere from 10 to 30 feet. I find the leg with maintenance footholds and hoist myself up to the first beam that I deem high enough, where when they cut the rope, my body would still fall a good 8 feet into the bramble. I love climbing and heights and it's exhilarating being up there. I think about my secretly suicidal middle sister (who doesn't know that I know, I snuck through her high school diary one day) who's taken up rock climbing as an adult. I know exactly how she feels and what she's been plotting all these years. The first thing I think is how tight would it be to climb the whole damn tower, see the entire city from 200 feet above. The second thing I think is Damn I wish I had her skills. I wonder if she failed once and took up rock climbing so she would know exactly how to do it the second time. Then I wonder if rock climbing gave her a reason to live. Being able to climb that whole tower might give me that reason, although I'd probably get thrown in jail or deported.

Reality set in. I had work to do. Trembling, I tied the rope to a beam at 17 feet. I knew if I fell that night I would wind up in a hospital and be asked a million questions not to mention my plan would physically be fucked for months. Carefully I clambered back down. My fall would be clear, alright; I just needed to trim the tops off some bramble. This was simply the perfect place to do it. At last after nights of scoping the ghettos, I had found my spot. I couldn't help but keep admiring how perfect this tower was. At last. It was just perfect.

Then I heard a truck roar past. I'd parked on the side of the dirt road. That's funny, I thought, obviously that's not a utility worker. I remembered there being some abandoned looking signs and fences further down the road. Maybe they weren't so abandoned after all. Then I heard the truck roar back. Stop around my car. I saw lights. Blue and red ones.

This wasn't good.

You really don't want to mess with the police in Mexico. Actual criminals, at least the ones I've encountered or heard of, don't care about civilians. It's not Brazil and they have bigger fish to fry than kidnapping gringos. But the cops, you have no idea what they'll be up to, who they know, or what they want on any given night. Every single interaction I've had with them has been them stopping me for no reason, questioning what I'm doing, searching my pockets, or trying to rob me. I'm out here all by myself in the prairie with the Estatales. Do I have my Bitcoins with me? I'm pretty sure I left my flash drive at home, it has all the real goods. My laptop's still here. In any case, this is bad.

'Hola, que pasa?' I shouted.

'Que pasa contigo?' What's up with you? one of them asked. He was younger than me and slightly built. His partner was older, gruff and thick-set.

I'm just walking around, exploring, I said in my best attempt at casual Spanish. They tell me to put my hands on the car and separate my legs. Holy shit.

I do so. They pat me down and proceed to ask me whether I have drugs or am drinking. Whether I'm there with anyone. I assure them I'm alright and I'm just out, touring around like a dumb tourist. No particular destination. I live in Centro and I work online doing computer stuff. Here are my IDs. You want to search the car? Be my guest.

The younger guy starts talking to me, as the older guy walks off to the tower with a flashlight. We're here to help you and protect you, because at this time of night, there are some bad people around, and we want to make sure you're not in trouble. I'm not, I say, I'm doing just fine. I just like walking around seeing what's out here. Facially, I'm cool as a cucumber; mentally I'm scrambling to figure out how to explain the rope still tied at 17 feet to his partner when he returns. I know the truth will get me 5150'd immediately, possibly deported. Don't these guys have drug dealers to catch? I think to myself.

To my surprise, they let me go without further questioning. 'I strongly advise you to go back home,' the young guy says. I nod, pretending to pretend to understand. What's your name? I ask. Brayan, he says. Have a safe night, Brayan. They drive off.

Whew. That could have ended a lot worse.

I return to the tower and resume thinking. I'll need to practice tying that knot. I'd be better off buying a bike lock with the rope pre-attached and draped around my neck, so I can just clip it on. That way I can try out the strength of all materials at home. I have plenty of space. My biggest fear, bar none, was fucking up. Being a cripple for decades, prevented by well-wishers from ever doing it again, being forced to lie in bed or drink through a tube. That could not happen and would not happen. I could always decap from a pedestrian overbridge I knew downtown. But it would be so ugly for my parents. Not to mention the first responders. No, I had to do what I could to drop hang. And that meant dealing with my fear of falling and retrieving that rope so I could measure out its length from the knot point.

Just as I was about to climb back on, I heard someone pull up slowly behind my vehicle.

I quietly strode back to my car. The real bad guys this time?

It was the same cop, now with all lights off. I stretched out my arms. What? I demanded. You know it's kind of weird, you guys coming back here like this?

No, the weird one is you, the young cop said in English. You're the one being weird.

I just think I left something back there, that's all. Something fell out of my pocket... My measuring tape. I tried looking around in my car but I couldn't find it.

The young guy said he'd go with me. Erm, what kind of gun is that you got? An M-4 (assault rifle), he said. You know I don't have a lot of money on me, I said. Don't worry, he said, we're here to help you. We're here to make sure you're alright.

I got my tape measure, on a rock, a few feet from my rope, and swiftly turn around before he could ask any awkward questions. I immediately get in my car and say, Thanks for your help, Brayan. Have a good night. Ignoring the troubled expression on his face, I drive off ahead of them, happy to be alive. But only so I can tidy up my estate and bequeath my Bitcoins so I can come back and kill myself in a week. Of course. But happy to be alive nonetheless.

When I get home after 20 minutes, I notice there's a truck driving very, very slowly, several blocks behind me. I turn around to stare at it. Presently it approaches where I'm standing. It's a police truck. It speeds up as it passes me, but I distinctly see Brayan and his partner through the windows.

It dawned on me that even the scumbag Mexican state police was for some reason fundamentally and sincerely invested in preventing my death. Had I explained that it would save hundreds of lives in Africa - not to mention ameliorate the exploitation of thousands of their own Mexican countrymen in the fields and factories - they would still have 5150'd me. Had I explained that the only thing they were doing is forcing me to decap, or even worse, ruining the postmortem donation value of my organs, they would STILL have 5150'd me. I'm 100% sure of this. Sure, it's called doing your job. Sure, it's called a protocol. But somebody high up in the ranks of the police force decided to include my life in that protocol. Decided that I should not die so that others may live. Decided that the proximity of my death to that community gave it more weight than the deaths of labourers and farmers in Mexico and Africa. Decided that my organs are worth more together than apart. All without knowing me and everything that's wrong with my evil soul.

No matter its consequences, the thing I intend to do is detestable and absolutely unacceptable to society; everybody is going to do everything they can to oppose it. What Brayan represented was the implicit rejection of my desires by Western society. I saw through his words and actions that no one will ever trust anything I say, regardless of how jovial or relaxed my mood appears to be. In fact there is an invisible barrier of distrust separating me from every other reasoning functioning human being on earth which no amount of logic or ethics will ever break down, no matter how indisputable and obvious it becomes that the world will be a better place if I'm dead. I've tried to hire people to help me, to no avail. I met a couple, boyfriend and girlfriend, who both claimed they supported voluntary euthanasia, the right to leave this life with dignity and choice. But when it came to a specific person, me, they could not even be paid to help. It's like I've become a place where logic itself frays.

I truly don't understand it.
submitted by FullSong to SuicideWatch [link] [comments]

New rule! Also are cryptocurrencies an investment, will there be a crash? Everything answered here!

This is going to be the only crypto post for now and an announcement:
Rule 6: Bitcoins & cryptocurrenies should be discussed in CryptoCurrency. Posts regarding this topic will be automatically removed.
If there's a stock correlated with cryptocurrencies, like coinbase going IPO, then that's fine, you might have to message the mods after posting to have it approved, no big deal.
Also if you're questioning whether something is an investment or not, just search for it on personalfinance. For general currency trading strategies, see forex .
If you're wondering if bitcoins are an investment or if there will be a crash, read on.

Are cryptocurrencies an investment?

This post is going to deal with bitcoins & cryptocurrencies as an investment... they're more speculative. All currencies are speculative mostly due to how the forex market works, but more because of exchange rates between countries keep currencies balanced (including inflation, country debt, interest rates, political & economic stability, etc), so you can only profit in price fluctuations.
Sure you could buy the currency of a depressed country, like Mexico decades ago, and then hold in the hopes it'll go up (which it did for Mexico), but that's also speculation (no one knew Mexico would pay off so much debt).
Bitcoins are also affected by other countries' currency values, but more so by the future expectation of legitimacy, world wide adoption, limited gains from mining, and eventual limit in supply. But at any given moment the United States could pay off more debt, raise interest rates to reduce inflation (or cause deflation), grow GDP, or even reduce the supply of USD all of which would increase the value of USD (keep in mind bitcoins can't do any of these things).
Far too many people are treating cryptocoins as an investment because currently (June 5th 2017) a lot of crypto investors are worth a lot of money, god bless you people, so this post will also help you determine if we're headed for a crypto crash and maybe you can keep those profits.

Should I invest in cryptocurrencies?

Understand that an investment is something you hope will go up in the future or provide income, both of which for the long term vs speculation which profits on short term inefficiencies.
Speculative securities are typically commodities, options, bonds, and currencies, but also stocks that are volatile enough to give you extreme returns or extreme loses.

Examples of investments:

Examples of speculation:

Reducing the risk of speculation

Typically for speculation you reduce risk by reducing your trade size and timeframe, but since you're trying to invest into something that is speculative, you can try:
Asset allocation, a strategy that reduces risk.. If you're 80% stocks, 15% bonds, 4% gold, and 1% bitcoins, if something were to happen to bitcoins, you still have 99% of your money.
But even very aggressive long term portfolios leave speculation out completely and just go 100% stocks because stocks benefit from growth while speculative securities like gold benefit from global turmoil in the short term. Only mid risk & mid term portfolios can take advantage of gold's speculative returns.
I also mention asset allocation because many crypto investors have been using this strategy on a portfolio of 100% crypto coins, but that doesn't help you reduce the overall risk of crypto coins, you're just reducing the risk of 1 speculative asset with another speculative asset. 100% crypto portfolio would face the same risks such as being made illegal, IRS aggressively hunting down crypto profits, a drop in correlated coin markets, or just a loss of popularity would all cause a sell off. Even the USD or Chinese currencies becoming more valuable would reduce the value of crypto coins.

Should I buy coins right now?

Cryptocoins are a better investment after a period of consolidation when volatility has stabilized:

Bitcoin 2013/2014 speculation, chart

Bitcoin 2015 consolidation, chart

Source Bitstamp exchange, while the volume is #2 to GDAX, Bitstamp is better to look at for historical price/data, more charts here.

RSI & MACD key for above charts and primer

Analyzing overbought signals

So the first chart above have RSI & MACD screaming that bitcoin is overbought and you shouldn't invest in 2013/2014.
The black squares in the 2nd chart show consolidation and reduced volatility, a "better" time to invest. If you were trading short term, it would be a whole different story, and there would be opportunities to buy & short, but since this is written for investing, the small overbought signals are ignored, so if you were to buy Bitcoin at $300 inside the first blacksquare (2nd chart) and then it suddenly drops to 25%, it's okay because the volatility is much lower compared to previous price movements (nothing compared to 80% loss in the 1st chart). Any investor would tell you a 25% drop is terrible, but bitcoins are speculative and that kind of drop is pretty damn good for this level of volatility.

Nothing goes straight up forever

and anything that comes near this vertical incline will eventually lose 80% to near 100%, always happens, it's usually preceded by emotions (price euphoria), attention, and increased volume, all classic signs that something is becoming riskier.
Other speculative securities gaining multiples and then losing 80% to near 100% of value:

Notable comments on reddit:

*This is just to get you guys looking at different subs on this topic, and yeah it's mostly anti-crypto, but don't let that discourage you.

Is Bitcoin going to crash?

Maybe, the signals are getting louder, you tell me: The only chart you wanted to see this entire time.
So based on the above chart, is bitcoin overbought? MACD levels are the same as 2013's crash, but the increased in value is around 4.3x or 2.4x (depending on which you look at), so maybe we'll see another spike before a crash, I don't know, it's up to interpretation right now. There's the emotional price levels of 3000 and 4000 that we might have no problem getting to in an overbought environment before a correction. And how big will the correction be? I think 80%, but it very well could be around 50% down to $1200, the previous level of resistance which would become support.
I put everything above in its own wiki here.
Well I hope that helps everyone. Sorry to anyone that may feel butthurt on classifying cryptocoins as speculation, I hope you understand the facts. Feel free to argue or agree with this. If I made any mistakes and you point them out, I'll correct them and give you credit for it in an update to this post and the wiki.
Also the automod will is just going to blanket remove posts (not comments) with the following keywords {crypto, bitcoin, btc, etherium, altcoin} (see update 4 below) (this will eventually get relaxed if Coinbase ever IPOs) and then it'll send the user this message:
"Sorry your post[link] was removed in stocks because of rule 6: Bitcoins & cryptocurrenies should be discussed in CryptoCurrency. You can find more information in our are-cryptocurrencies-investments wiki. If you're trying to discuss a non-OTC stock related to cryptocoins like Coinbase IPO, or this was just a mistake, message the mods and they'll approve your post, thanks."
Update: Created wiki, added relevant websites and sub reddits. Also turned on automod reply.
Update2: those relavant websites and subreddits I put into the wiki, thanks u/dross99 for recommending ethereum

Relevant websites/wikis

Relevant subreddits

  • CryptoCurrency - main sub to learn about all bit & altcoins
  • ethtrader - trading eth
  • ethereum - for more eth information
  • btc - the place to have bitcoin discussions or r/CryptoCurrency; while Bitcoin does have a lot of information on Bitcoins in general, you'll find many reddit subs completely opposed to Bitcoin for heavy censorship of discussions, especially those critical of bitcoins, so you're better off reading the sub's wikis and discussing bitcoins in btc & r/CryptoCurrency
  • personalfinance
Update3: Shoutout to the mods on CryptoCurrency
Update4: Updated auto mod keywords, it's not a blanket catch all, a little completed to understand if you don't know regex but it looks like this
"crypto ?(trading|investing)","(should(| I)|could(| I)|can(| I)|how to|is it worth) (buy|sell|mine|min)(|ing) (btc|btcs|bitcoin|ether|etherium|eth|litecoin|ripple|altcoin)" 
submitted by provoko to stocks [link] [comments]

A Look at DCG & Bitfury's Incestuous Ties With the U.S. Government

Peter Todd Tweet in 2014:
[email protected] I gotta say, looks really bad legally how Austin Hill's been negotiating deals w/ pools/etc. to get control of hashing power.
Board of Digital Currency Group
Glenn Hutchins
Advisory Board
Larry Summers
DCG of course is an investor in both Blockstream and BTCC.
DCG's money comes from:
DCG also owns Coindesk.
BTCC and Bitfury are the only two large mining pools who are outspoken in their support of Bitcoin Core.
The Bitfury Group Leadership to Present at Clinton Global Initiative (
Full Video (Begins at 32:00)
“The Bitfury Group is proud to be the world’s leading full service Blockchain technology company, we are deeply honored to represent this innovation to an audience of extremely dedicated game-changers, and we look forward to highlighting our company’s groundbreaking ‘Blockchain for global good’ work at such an important event, said Smith. “From the White House to the Blockchain, I know this technology has the power to deliver inclusion and opportunity to millions, if not billions, of people around the world and I am so grateful to work for a company focused on such a principled vision.”
Bitfury Lightning Implementation
  • In partnership with a French firm called ACINQ (
  • ACINQ is a subsidiary of the larger ACINQ Financial Services
  • CoinTelegraph: Bitfury Lightning Network Successfully Tested With French Bitcoin Company
  • TEAM:
  • ACINQ’s US Headquarters is in Vienna, Virginia, a small town of only 16,000. Why would a global financial firm choose to locate here? -- Feeder community into Washington, D.C. Has an orange line metro stop. -- Located in Fairfax County, VA. -- The US Federal Government is the #2 largest employer -- Booz Allen Hamilton (NSA front company) is #6 largest employer -- In fact, most of the top employers in Fairfax County are either US Federal Gov’t or companies that provide services to Federal Government -- The county is home to the headquarters of intelligence agencies such as the Central Intelligence Agency, National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency, and National Reconnaissance Office, as well as the National Counterterrorism Center and Office of the Director of National Intelligence.
Chairman: Avinash Vashistha
CEO: Chaman Baid
CSO: Nandan Setlur
  • From 1986-1993 he worked for Information Management Consultants (imc) Ltd as a Technical Consultant with various federal government agencies. McLean, Virginia
  • 1993-2000 Technical Consultant for Freddie Mac, in McLean Virginia
  • From 2000-2007, President of InterPro Global in Maryland
  • From 2011-2012, Director of VibbleTV in Columbia, Maryland
  • From 2008-Present has been Executive Director at ACINQ and Managing Partner at Vine Management, both in Vienna, Virginia.
BitFury Enhances Its Advisory Board by Adding Former CFTC Chairman Dr. James Newsome and Renowned Global Thought Leader and President of the Institute for Liberty and Democracy Hernando de Soto (Businesswire)
Bitfury Board of Directors
Robert R Dykes
The other board members include two Bitfury founders, and an investor.
Bitfury Advisory Board
James Newsome
  • Ex-chairman of CFTC
  • Dr. Newsome was nominated by President Clinton and confirmed by the Senate to be at first a Commissioner and later a Chairman of CFTC. As Chairman, Newsome guided the regulation of the nation’s futures markets. Additionally, Newsome led the CFTC’s regulatory implementation of the Commodity Futures Modernization Act of 2000 (CFMA). He also served as one of four members of the President’s Working Group for Financial Markets, along with the Secretary of the Treasury and the Chairmen of the Federal Reserve and the SEC. In 2004, Newsome assumed the role of President and Chief Executive Officer of the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) where he managed daily operations of the largest physical derivatives exchange in the world. Dr. Newsome is presently a founding partner of Delta Strategy Group, a full-service government affairs firm based in Washington, DC.
Hernando de Soto
  • Hernando de Soto heads the Institute for Liberty and Democracy, named by The Economist one of the two most important think tanks in the world. In the last 30 years, he and his colleagues at the ILD have been involved in designing and implementing legal reform programs to empower the poor in Africa, Asia, Latin America, the Middle East, and former Soviet nations by granting them access to the same property and business rights that the majority of people in developed countries have through the institutions and tools needed to exercise those rights and freedoms. Mr. de Soto also co-chaired with former US Secretary of State Madeleine Albright the Commission on Legal Empowerment of the Poor, and currently serves as honorary co-chair on various boards and organizations, including the World Justice Project. He is the author of “The Other Path: the Economic Answer to Terrorism”, and his seminal work “The Mystery of Capital: Why Capitalism Triumphs in the West and Fails Everywhere Else.”
  • Frequent attendee at Davos World Economic Forum
  • Frequent Speaker @ Clinton Global Initiative
  • Criticisms: -- In his 'Planet of Slums'[104] Mike Davis argues that de Soto, who Davis calls 'the global guru of neo-liberal populism', is essentially promoting what the statist left in South America and India has always promoted—individual land titling. Davis argues that titling is the incorporation into the formal economy of cities, which benefits more wealthy squatters but is disastrous for poorer squatters, and especially tenants who simply cannot afford incorporation into the fully commodified formal economy. -- An article by Madeleine Bunting for The Guardian (UK) claimed that de Soto's suggestions would in some circumstances cause more harm than benefit, and referred to The Mystery of Capital as "an elaborate smokescreen" used to obscure the issue of the power of the globalized elite. She cited de Soto's employment history as evidence of his bias in favor of the powerful.
Tomicah Tilleman
  • Dr. Tomicah Tillemann is Director of the Bretton Woods II initiative. The initiative brings together a variety of long-term investors, with the goal of committing 1% of their assets to social impact investment and using investments as leverage to encourage global good governance. Tillemann served at the U.S. State Department in 2010 as the Senior Advisor on Civil Society and Emerging Democracies to Secretary Hillary Clinton and Secretary John Kerry. Tillemann came to the State Department as a speechwriter to Secretary Clinton in March 2009. Earlier, he worked for the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, where he was the principal policy advisor on Europe and Eurasia to Committee Chairmen, Senators Joe Biden and John Kerry. He also facilitated the work of the Senate's Subcommittee on European Affairs, then chaired by Senator Barack Obama. Tillemann received his B.A. magna cum laude from Yale University. He holds a Ph.D. with distinction from the School for Advanced International Studies at Johns Hopkins University (SAIS) where he also served as a graduate level instructor in American foreign policy.
  • Secretary Clinton appointed Tomicah Tillemann, Ph.D. as the State Department’s Senior Advisor for Civil Society and Emerging Democracies in October 2010. He continues his service under Secretary Kerry.
  • Mr. Tillemann and his team operate like venture capitalists, identifying ideas that can strengthen new democracies and civil society, and then bring together the talent, technology and resources needed to translate promising concepts into successful diplomacy. He and his team have developed over 20 major initiatives on behalf of the President and Secretary of State.
  • Mr. Tillemann came to the State Department as a speechwriter to Secretary Clinton in March 2009 and collaborated with her on over 200 speeches. Earlier, he worked for the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, where he was the principal policy advisor on Europe and Eurasia to Committee Chairmen, Senators Joe Biden and John Kerry. He also facilitated the work of the Senate's Subcommittee on European Affairs, then chaired by Senator Barack Obama. Mr. Tillemann’s other professional experience includes work with the White House Office of Media Affairs and five U.S. Senate and Congressional campaigns. He was a reporter with Reuters New Media and hosted a commercial radio program in Denver, Colorado.
  • Director of “Bretton Woods II” initiative at New America Foundation Bretton Woods was an international summit that led to the creation of the IMF and the IBRD, one of five members of The World Bank
Jamie Smith
Jason Weinstein
Paul Brody (no longer appears on site, and his LinkedIn has no mention of Bitfury, but he is mentioned in a Press Release
  • Ernst & Young since 2015 as “Americas Strategy Leader”, “Global Innovation Leader”, and “Solution Leader”
  • Prior to E&Y, he was an executive at IBM since 2002
New America Foundation
Muskoka Group
[note: this is worthy of much more research]
  • Don Tapscott, co-author of the book “Blockchain Revolution,” hosted the meeting with his son and co-author Alex Tapscott at his family’s summer compound in Lake of Bays, Ontario. The group included some of blockchain’s biggest backers, including people with ties to IBM and JPMorgan. They considered ways to improve the governance and oversight of the technology behind the digital currency bitcoin as a way to fuel the industry’s growth. They included Jim Zemlin, executive director of the Linux Foundation; Brian Behlendorf, executive director of the Hyperledger Project, a blockchain supporter group that includes International Business Machines Corp., Airbus Group SE and JPMorgan Chase & Co.; and Ana Lopes, board member of the World Wide Web Foundation. Participants with blockchain industry ties include former deputy White House press secretary Jamie Smith, now chief global communications officer of BitFury Group Ltd., and Joseph Lubin, founder of startup Consensus Systems.
Blockchain Delegation Attends Democratic National Convention
Jamie Smith — The Bitfury Group & Blockchain Trust Accelerator Tomicah Tillemann— New America Foundation & Blockchain Trust Accelerator Alex Tapscott— co-author: Blockchain Revolution Brian Forde — MIT, Digital Currency Initiative
Brian Forde
  • Was the founding director of the MIT Digital Currency Initiative -Left his 4 year post as White House Senior Advisor for Mobile and Data Innovation to go directly to the MIT DCI
  • Brian Forde has spent more than a decade at the nexus of technology, entrepreneurship, and public policy. He is currently the Director of Digital Currency at the MIT Media Lab where he leads efforts to mainstream digital currencies like Bitcoin through research, and incubation of high-impact applications of the emerging technology. Most recently he was the Senior Advisor for Mobile and Data Innovation at the White House where he spearheaded efforts to leverage emerging technologies to address the President’s most critical national priorities. Prior to his work at the White House, Brian founded one of the largest phone companies in Nicaragua after serving as a business and technology volunteer in the Peace Corps. In recognition of his work, Brian was named a Young Global Leader by the World Economic Forum and one of the ten most influential people in bitcoin and blockchain.
Alex Tapscott
World Economic Forum
  • Strategic Partners:
  • Includes Accenture (See Avinash Vashistha), Allianz, Deloitte (Scaling Bitcoin platinum sponsor, Blockstream Partner), Citigroup, Bain & Company (parent of Bain Capital, DCG investor), Dalian Wanda Group (working on blockchain technology), Ernst & Young (see Paul Brody), HSBC (Li-Ka Shing, Blockstream investor, used to be Deputy Chairman of HSBC), IBM, KPMG International, Mastercard (DCG Investor), PwC (Blockstream partner, also sponsor of Scaling Bitcoin)
  • Future of Financial Services Report [PDF] The word “blockchain” is mentioned once in this document, on page 23 ( We have identified three major challenge areas related to innovation in financial services that will require multi-stakeholder collaboration to be addressed effectively. We are launching a project stream related to each area, with the goal of enabling tangible impact.... Decentralised systems, such as the blockchain protocol, threaten to disintermediate almost every process in financial services
  • The Steering Group who authored the report is a who’s who of the global financial elite. (Pages 4 & 5)
Bitfury Washington DC Office
Washington DC Office 600 Pennsylvania Avenue Suite 300 Washington, D.C. 20003
Bitfury Chosen for Ernst & Young Blockchain Startup Challenge
Deloitte Unveils Plan to Build Blockchain-Based Digital Bank
submitted by 5zh8FoCiZ to btc [link] [comments]

What is Drugwalking?

"Drugwalking" is a term I made up that is analagous to the ATF Gunwalking Scandal, used to describe the vertically-integrated drug activities of the Fed. Just to remind you, the gunwalking scandal involved putting out illegal firearms and seeing where they ended up, letting the illegal arms act as a kind of radiological tracer used in medicine. By finding these illegal arms, the feds were able to 'map out' the criminal organizations.
Drugwalking is similar to gunwalking in some ways and dissimilar in others. It's similar to gunwalking in that it's an entrapment-like ploy to capture some people. But it's different from gunwalking in that it does not hope to entirely eliminate drug networks, rather it aims to maintain, optimize and manage drug networks.
We Know Who is at the Top of the Drug Dealing Pyramid
We know that the CIA, Queen Elizabeth II, and the Pope are all involved in narcotrafficking. If you don't know this, then you have tried very hard to keep yourself in a state of complete ignorance. The history you received in public school is that England ran an Opium War against the Chinese and then that was over.
Guess what? That's not correct: The opium wars never stopped.. And the silk road didn't die with Rome. And Rome: didn't die. Silk road went global along with Rome, and the US is now Rome. The modern darknet 'silkroad' and 'silkroad 2' were taken over by the fed and the NSA ended up with all their bitcoins, making them a primary coinholder. Isn't that convenient?
You see, it's all a game and we're the dupes. We were funded initially by french freemasonry steered by the Bavarian illuminati to win our Revolutionary war and become a sovereign so-called 'republic'. We could not have won our secret-society-based-nation on our own, as Britian was 2000 yrs ahead of us in drug revenue and money wins wars. No, this was the creation of a subsidiary. An affiliate making program. The only reason we became 'so called sovereign' is "they" let it happen. Just like most wars, lots of people died in order for a good show for the history books. Apologies in advance if this opinion makes you mad at me---to propose that the US is still a subsidiary of the British Empire. I believe it is. But we can't have that conversation now.
Still I can tell you why I feel this way for several reasons. Primarily, that Drug mercantilism did not die with the burning of templars. After reading several books on the government and clergy-run narcotrafficking this much has become perfectly clear.
Fast forward to now. There's a cartel in Mexico called the "Knights Templar Cartel", that have adopted the principles of their namesake. When the Rat Pope came to town, they put up banners promising no violence in the area during that time[1].
This is just one interesting anecdote among many. Others have written about proofs of these claims at length in several books, namely LaRouche's Dope Inc, McCoy's Politics of Heroin, and Gary Webb's Dark Alliance. Some of these were written decades ago, and if you truly need more sources than that, and are too lazy to investigate/fact checkmebro on this yourself, then I will gladly provide, but at my leisure/pace. Proving this is not the point of this article.
Global Substance Management, Inc
Our CIA, who are not intelligent enough to do their own intel, are managing cartels around the world. I've explained this in the best (and most underrated imo) post I've ever written to date. The CIA itself is guided by policy agencies that are guided by on the one hand, necon facist industrialists of the knights of malta freemasons, and on the other neoliberal fascist zionists and jesuit financeers. Guess who is NOT represented? That's right: the public--the lumpen, extraoperative, global everyperson. The chief export of this system is disempowerment, demoralization and opacity, while fooling everyone into thinking it's the opposite of those things (selling the shinola).
Hypocrisy, Fake Rights and Lip Service Hangouts
If these drugs were legal, then we wouldn't have any reason to complain about the authorities simply creating a vertically-integrated network of goods and services. But we complain because they've made these substances illegal, while also selling them. They are illegal because of the drug schedules promoted within the
UN 1971 Convention on Spychotropic (Psychotropic) Substances[2][3]
The UN is steered mostly by the US as a faux-ideology hangout and plausible deniability engine. In other words, they created a fake international organization to act as a scapegoat for crafting policies that would be difficult to retract, simply because they've contractually-obligated all participatory governments in adhering to those policies. Difficultly-in-retraction simply means, you can't reneg if you yourself created the guidelines, because reneging on these agreements would make the US look indecisive, foolish, fickle, and untrustworthy ("you're going to tell me what to do but can't hold yourself to the same standards").
This Janus-face of hypocrisy is what people find intolerable, now that we all pretty much know who is at the top of the pyramid. They push they push psychological garbage tropes of 'drugs are bad', 'drugs are immoral', 'we are losing the drug war' as a form of social control, to create a means of distinction: the 'good people' and the 'bad people'. To foist judgmentalism of "the drug user trope" on everyone. By creating the drug-addled trainwreck of the Charlie Sheen trope, they necessarily and implicitly create his social opposite: the 'normal person'. Don't be like Charlie Sheen. Be a normal person. Keep calm, go to work, fuck your wife 3 times a year, and above all stop asking questions--that only hurts you.
Back to the UN: what have they done with their little blue hats to stop drugs? What has INTERPOL done? I think they set cartel boundaries to keep "normals" from getting hurt...because that gives justification for retaliation and lawsuits...I think that's all they do because they cannot 'win' the drug war when they are being run from the same parent org that is selling the drugs. It would make as much sense to think that pro-breastfeeding groups are being run by infant formula manufacturers.
It's become very obvious that the only reason to keep drugs illegal is to extort taxes from the public in order to enhance a government run paramilitary militia of drug agents (DEA) that look strangely like ISIS. Yet, the very same government is bringing in these illegal drugs through cartels; brainwashing the public into thinking they are fighting a war on drugs, winning/losing it, and constantly need our taxes to do it; and using the DEA to bust the occasional hippies to remind you who the "normal people" are, and all's under kontrol.
Unless of course you're black. Or poor. The two employees / consumers. These two groups end up in jail more often than others. I guess they didn't get the memo on how to be a "normal person" and they went the Charlie Sheen route. Of course, if meth weren't available to them, white people also woudn't end up in jail. Because meth is the new crack but for whites.
If you're a good gang member, you don't do things that undermine the money train, like yourself getting addicted. If you do: jail. If you steal money, then you get busted. If you think you're going up the chain rapidly, jail. If you think you're going to go off script and run your own thing: jail. Like Carlin said, the Government hates competition.
It's helpful to point out that our prison system has become privatized so now the government doesn't have to deal with pesky regulations like keeping prisoners alive or healthy or safe. Prisoners are paid a miniscule fraction of the minimum wage for their labor in manufacturing deep-discounted public-sphere items. This is essentially slavery.
Basically, when a government manages the worlds illegal substances as 'regional interests'--ie: you get your cocaine from s. america, your meth from mexico, your opiates from afghanistan and s.e. asia--and then imports these substances, and then polices people regarding these substances, and then outsources the results of their policing, they are basically engaged in
Drugwalking, the casting of a wide net of illegal substances in order to kill users or incarcerate them at a profit, making money at each and every step so that all the middle men make very large profits and the america public is terrorized into giving up more of their money in order to feel safe.
Psychedelics are the solution to Addiction
The government also hates drugs that expand the mind, break mind control[4][5], break addictions to the products they sell[6][7], and basically do little to no harm themselves(mushrooms and pot respectively)[33], and are sometimes medically invaluable in treating mental illness[8][9][10][11].
And in the case of suicide, instead of promoting proven psychedelic therapy, they promote more addictive heroin[12], again finding a new way to peddle their substances by politicking science and omitting and ignoring a favorable solution (that just happens to threaten the alcohol industry as well[13]).
Our country loves to keep all the best drugs available at a super low rate (except maybe pot), just high enough that they persist as actually extant within culture, and can be utilized for the urban legend psycholgoical 'stayaway' of the 'LSD jumping from building person'. The psychedelics are extremely rare. I am by no means an expert, but in college mushrooms were the hardest to get, then acid, then everything else. EDIT: DMT is so incredibly scarce I've never known anyone to actually get their hands on it. It seems like a myth.
It's very telling that meth, crack, heroin, painkillers and cocaine are widely available, so much so even than really good pot or hashish in states where it's not recreation-legal now. Basically, the drugs that kill you quickly are the ones that are most widely available.
EDIT: Abusable Plants that will kill you right away are also 100% legal. For example, datura, henbane, belladonna, brugmansia, all the tropanes that hundreds of floridian kids have died from in the absence of 100% safe marijuana as alternative to their curiousity. Note also these are plants used in witchcraft. Sayin'.
Killer Drugs
Isn't that interesting? It would seem at first that those authorities making these available would want the users to be dead. So why aren't they all dead?
The answer is there will always be users, because drug using is a type of self-medication for spriritual and mental disorders--although the classic 'narcotics' only make the situation worse and that's by design. You've heard of addictive personalities? If drug use is a mental disorder, and not simply "angry, stigmatic judgmentalism" against people, then when we stigmatize and berate drug users, we're basically doing the same thing as harassing / bullying a schizophrenic person online, or yelling "you're stupid" at a mentally-retarded person. It's mean. It's unhelpful. You create criminals by creating users and vice versa.
We're blaming the victims. Have we ever considered asking the question: who is creating and maintaining and managing the victims? No we don't. Why not? Because we know the answer already, and nothing ever changes. We don't want to ask this question because if we did, then we'd become immediately and fully aware that we have no power to stop it. Since we don't like being tied down and raped repeatedly by our government, we choose instead to love them and align with this. This is the essence of Cultural Stockholm Syndrome. I recommend you stop sympathizing with your rapists.
Because these rapists are the ones that occasionally get dupers' delight from mixing in fentanyl with the heroin and killing a user immediately[14]. It's what got Prince[15]. No one is immune to this kind of evil.
edits are grammar, spelling and citation numbers, fixed 'harm' link.
submitted by 911bodysnatchers322 to conspiracy [link] [comments]

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